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Bali Weather This Week: February 2026 Rainy Season Forecast & What to Expect

Everything you need to know about Bali's weather from February 8–14, 2026 — daily rain forecasts, how the wet season actually works, and why it shouldn't stop you from going.

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Bali Weather This Week: February 2026 Rainy Season Forecast & What to Expect

Let's address the elephant in the room: yes, February is the heart of Bali's rainy season. If you're reading this, you're probably worried about whether your trip will be ruined by endless downpours. The short answer? Almost certainly not. Bali's "rainy season" is widely misunderstood — it doesn't mean nonstop rain for days on end. It means hot, tropical mornings followed by intense but usually short afternoon thunderstorms, after which the sun often returns and the island smells incredible.

This week in mid-February 2026, Bali is running true to form with daytime highs of 33–34°C (91–93°F), high humidity, and daily rain probabilities ranging from 45% to 85%. The key to enjoying Bali right now is understanding the rain pattern: mornings are typically your golden window of dry, sunny weather, while afternoon and evening showers arrive like clockwork between 2–6 PM. Plan accordingly, and Bali in February can be absolutely magical — greener, cheaper, and less crowded than the dry season.

Bali Weather Overview: February 8–14, 2026

Bali's rainy season runs from November through March, with January and February being the wettest months. The island receives an average of 345mm of rainfall in February — that sounds like a lot, but it falls in concentrated bursts rather than gentle all-day drizzle. A typical February day in Bali sees 3–5 hours of actual rainfall, leaving the remaining 10–12 daylight hours dry or mostly dry. Temperatures remain consistently hot, with minimal variation between the seasons: the difference between Bali's coolest month (July at 27°C) and warmest (February at 34°C) is only about 7 degrees.

This week, humidity levels are running high at 75–85%, which makes the heat feel more intense than the number alone suggests. Sea temperature is a bathwater-warm 29°C (84°F), making ocean swimming comfortable at any time of day. UV index remains extreme (10–11) even through cloud cover — sunscreen is absolutely essential.

DayHighLowRain %Conditions
Sun, Feb 833°C / 92°F25°C / 77°F75%Morning sun, afternoon storms
Mon, Feb 933°C / 92°F25°C / 77°F65%Partly cloudy, PM showers
Tue, Feb 1034°C / 93°F25°C / 77°F45%Best day — less rain
Wed, Feb 1133°C / 92°F25°C / 77°F75%Heavy afternoon storms
Thu, Feb 1233°C / 91°F25°C / 77°F85%Wettest day of the week

Day-by-Day Forecast

🌤️🌧️ Sunday, February 8 — Classic Rainy Season Pattern

High: 33°C (92°F) · Low: 25°C (77°F)

Precipitation chance: 75% · Humidity: ~82% · Sea temp: 29°C

Sunday delivers the quintessential Bali rainy season experience: clear, steamy mornings giving way to dramatic afternoon thunderstorms. Get up early — sunrise is around 6:20 AM — and head to the beach, pool, or your morning activity before noon. By 1–2 PM, watch the clouds build over the central mountains before towering cumulonimbus clouds unleash a spectacular tropical downpour, often accompanied by thunder and lightning. These storms typically last 1–3 hours before the sky clears and the evening turns calm and beautiful. Use the morning for Tanah Lot temple (arrive by 8 AM to beat both the heat and crowds), then retreat to your villa, a spa, or a covered café for the afternoon rain. Dinner under the stars by 7 PM is entirely realistic.

⛅🌧️ Monday, February 9 — Slightly Drier, But Still Tropical

High: 33°C (92°F) · Low: 25°C (77°F)

Precipitation chance: 65% · Humidity: ~80% · Sea temp: 29°C

Monday is marginally drier than Sunday, with a 65% rain probability suggesting that showers will still arrive but may be lighter or shorter. Morning surfing conditions in Kuta and Seminyak are generally good — the rainy season brings more consistent swells from the west, and the pre-rain morning hours often deliver clean, glassy waves. Non-surfers should seize the morning for the Tegallalang Rice Terraces — the paddies are at their most vivid green in February, fed by weeks of rain. The terraces are breathtakingly photogenic, especially with the dramatic cloud formations that build through the morning. Plan to be done by noon and head somewhere covered for lunch.

🌤️ Tuesday, February 10 — Best Day of the Week

High: 34°C (93°F) · Low: 25°C (77°F)

Precipitation chance: 45% · Humidity: ~75% · Sea temp: 29°C

Tuesday looks like the week's best day with the lowest rain probability at 45%. While showers are still possible, this is as close to a "dry day" as February gets in Bali. This is your day for longer outdoor excursions: the Mount Batur sunrise trek (depart around 3 AM for the 2-hour climb), a full day exploring Ubud including the Sacred Monkey Forest and the Goa Gajah (Elephant Cave), or a snorkeling/diving trip to Nusa Penida or the Amed coast on the east side. If you're a photographer, the combination of the lush green landscape and dramatic cloud formations on a partially clear day produces extraordinary images. The east coast tends to be drier than the south in February, making it a smart choice for beach activities.

🌧️⛈️ Wednesday, February 11 — Heavier Afternoon Storms

High: 33°C (92°F) · Low: 25°C (77°F)

Precipitation chance: 75% · Humidity: ~84% · Sea temp: 29°C

Wednesday returns to heavier rain patterns with 75% probability and the potential for more prolonged afternoon storms. The morning remains your ally — aim to start activities by 7–8 AM and wrap outdoor plans by noon. This is an excellent day for the Tirta Empul water purification temple (an early morning visit is deeply peaceful), followed by an afternoon of Balinese spa treatments. Many of Bali's world-class spas offer multi-hour packages — a traditional Balinese massage, body scrub, flower bath, and facial for surprisingly affordable prices. Alternatively, take a cooking class: several operators in Ubud offer morning market visits followed by 4-hour cooking sessions in open-air pavilions where the sound of rain on the roof adds to the ambiance.

🌧️⛈️ Thursday, February 12 — Wettest Day, Embrace It

High: 33°C (91°F) · Low: 25°C (77°F)

Precipitation chance: 85% · Humidity: ~86% · Sea temp: 29°C

Thursday is the wettest day this week with an 85% rain chance, meaning showers are virtually guaranteed and may start earlier in the day than usual. This doesn't mean you're confined to your room — it means adapting your plans. Rain in Bali is warm (around 25°C), so getting caught in a shower isn't the cold, miserable experience it is in Europe. Embrace a slow day: lounge by your private villa pool during morning breaks in the rain, visit the Blanco Renaissance Museum in Ubud (an eccentric art museum that's wonderfully atmospheric in rain), or simply café-hop through Ubud or Canggu's incredible coffee scene. If rain persists into the evening, Bali's restaurant scene is magical in the wet season — candlelit dinners at Locavore, Mozaic, or any beachfront warung with rain drumming on a thatched roof is genuinely romantic.

What to Wear & Pack for Bali's Rainy Season

Packing for Bali in February is completely different from cold-weather destinations. You need to manage heat, humidity, and sudden rain — heavy winter clothing has no place here.

Clothing: Light, breathable fabrics only — cotton, linen, and moisture-wicking synthetics. You'll sweat through everything, so pack more tops than you think you need, or plan to do laundry (most guesthouses offer next-day laundry service for about $2–3 per kg). Loose-fitting clothes are more comfortable than tight ones in the humidity. For temple visits, you'll need a sarong and sash to cover your legs — these can be rented at most temples for a small fee, but buying your own from a local market is cheap and makes a great souvenir.

Rain gear: A compact, quick-drying rain jacket is more practical than an umbrella. When Bali's tropical downpours hit, umbrellas struggle against the wind and volume of water. Alternatively, do as the locals do: duck under cover and wait 30–60 minutes for the rain to pass. Many travelers buy cheap ponchos from local shops for 20,000–30,000 IDR ($1.30–2.00).

Footwear: Waterproof sandals with grip (Teva-style or reef walkers) are ideal for 90% of activities. Bring one pair of closed-toe shoes for temple visits and treks. Avoid white shoes — Bali's rain turns paths muddy quickly, and white anything will be brown within hours.

Sun protection: SPF 50+ sunscreen (reef-safe if you're snorkeling), sunglasses, and a hat are essential. The UV index is extreme even through cloud cover — many visitors underestimate this and burn severely on overcast days.

⚠️ Important: Mosquitoes are more active during the rainy season. Bring DEET-based repellent (at least 30%) or picaridin-based alternatives. Apply especially at dawn and dusk. Consider anti-malarial medication if traveling to remote eastern Bali, though dengue is a greater concern island-wide — cover up at dusk.

Why Bali's Rainy Season Is Actually Great

Before you cancel your trip, consider the significant advantages of visiting Bali in February versus the crowded dry season months of July–September:

Prices drop 30–50%: Villas that cost $300/night in August go for $150–180 in February. Flights are significantly cheaper, and many hotels offer rainy season promotions with free spa treatments or room upgrades.

Fewer crowds: Major attractions like the Tegallalang Rice Terraces, Uluwatu Temple, and the Ubud Monkey Forest are dramatically less crowded. You'll actually be able to take photos without dozens of other tourists in frame.

The landscape is stunning: February is when Bali is at its greenest. The rice paddies are fully irrigated and luminous green, waterfalls are at their most powerful and dramatic, and the tropical vegetation is lush and overflowing. Photographers specifically target the rainy season for this reason.

Surfing can be excellent: The west coast (Kuta, Seminyak, Canggu) gets its best swells during the rainy season, with more consistent waves than the dry season when the swell shifts to the east coast. Dawn patrol sessions before the rain arrives are legendary.

Sunsets are more dramatic: The moisture and cloud formations during rainy season produce some of the most spectacular sunsets you'll ever see. The famous Uluwatu and Tanah Lot sunset views are actually better in February than in dry-season August.

Areas of Bali: Where to Stay This Week

Ubud (Central highlands): Receives the most rain but is the most atmospheric in the wet season. The combination of rice terraces, ravines, and tropical forest makes rain a feature, not a bug. Best for culture, yoga, and wellness travelers.

Seminyak/Canggu (Southwest coast): Good balance of beach access and modern amenities. Rain tends to be afternoon-focused with clear mornings. Best for surfers, foodies, and nightlife seekers.

Nusa Dua (Southeast coast): Slightly drier than the west coast in February. The resort area offers sheltered beaches and upscale facilities designed to handle any weather. Best for families and luxury travelers.

Amed/East Bali: Notably drier than the south and west — the rain shadow of Mount Agung keeps this coast more sheltered during the wet season. Best for diving, snorkeling, and off-the-beaten-path exploration.

💡 Pro Tip: If you want the best of both worlds, split your stay between Ubud (for rainy season atmosphere, culture, and rice terraces) and Amed or Nusa Dua (for drier beach days and water activities). Many travelers do a 4-night/3-night split between the two areas.

Health & Safety During Rainy Season

Heavy rain can cause flash flooding in some low-lying areas, particularly around rivers and rice paddy drainage channels. Avoid crossing flooded roads on a scooter — the water can be deeper than it appears and hide open drains. Road conditions deteriorate in the rain, and scooter accidents increase significantly during wet season. If you're renting a scooter, ride extremely cautiously in the rain and avoid night riding on unlit rural roads.

The increased humidity means cuts and scrapes take longer to heal and can become infected more easily. Carry basic first aid supplies and clean any wound thoroughly. Staying hydrated is crucial — the combination of heat, humidity, and activity causes rapid dehydration. Drink at least 3–4 liters of water daily and supplement with coconut water, which is available fresh from vendors everywhere for about 15,000–25,000 IDR.

📍 Check the full hourly forecast for Bali on WFY24.com

Live temperature, precipitation, wind, and humidity data updated every hour.

Summary: Should You Visit Bali This Week?

If you're asking whether Bali is "worth it" in February — the answer is an enthusiastic yes, with caveats. You will get rained on. Your plans will need flexibility. Some outdoor activities will be cut short or rescheduled. But in exchange, you'll experience Bali at its most authentic, affordable, and visually stunning. The rice terraces glow electric green, the waterfalls thunder with power, the sunsets explode with color, and the Balinese culture — ceremonies, offerings, temple visits — continues uninterrupted regardless of weather.

The strategy is simple: be an early riser, front-load outdoor activities before noon, embrace afternoon rain as spa/rest/food time, and enjoy spectacular evenings when the storms pass. Tuesday is your best bet for a full dry day — plan your biggest adventure accordingly. And remember: a rainy day in 33°C tropical Bali still beats a clear day in 3°C London.

This forecast is based on current meteorological data as of February 8, 2026, and is subject to change. For the most up-to-date Bali weather data, visit wfy24.com/en/weather/bali.